Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Miramar Misiones		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.75
	2.58	3	2.72
	2.69	3.1	2.88
	2.86	2.80	2.76	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.48)	3.05 ↓ (3.22)	2.75 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
35.5%

Draw
30.6%

Montevideo Wanderers
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.8%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Moreno J. (G) 16. Gomez M. 29. Ayala J. 19. Olivera A. (C) 15. Alonso F. 4. Lopez P. 22. Diaz O. 8. Pandiani A. 10. Ramirez G. 25. Olivera D. 24. Silvera F.	25. da Silva J. (G) 15. Garcia A. 2. Lima P. 6. Zazpe L. 13. Gabriel G. 20. Lima P. 18. Cerro F. (C) 7. Rivero R. 5. Queiroz N. 28. Luna J. 22. Parzajuk K.
Substitutes
26. Crisafi J. F. 28. Gelos N. 27. Lopez S. 23. Nunez D. 14. Pereira G. 31. Pirez M. (G) 37. Roldan M. 17. Saliadarre E. 18. Tirado F. 7. Yepez I.	14. Acosta M. 21. Guzman S. 26. Martinez M. 4. Novo R. 12. Rio J. (G) 17. Suarez M. 24. Suarez P. 27. Teuten A. 8. Veglio B. 16. Wagner G.
Coaches
Giordano B.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Ramirez G. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Silvera F. ⚽,
43', Olivera D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lima P. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
46', Queiroz N. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
60', Luna J. 🟨,
69', Silvera F. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
69', Pandiani A. ↓, Tirado F. ↑,
73', Luna J. 🟨,
77', Gomez M. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
77', Ramirez G. ↓, Yepez I. ↑,
80', Zazpe L. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Yepez I. ⚽,
83', Cerro F. ↓, Veglio B. ↑,
83', Rivero R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
85', Garcia A. ↓, Wagner G. ↑,
85', Alonso F. ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Diaz O. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo Wanderers - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.82%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.09.25	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Danubio - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Miramar Misiones - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Miramar Misiones - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTLL
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.25	Universitario Salto - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
23.03.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	1:2
26.11.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	2:0
25.05.24	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0
Uruguay Copa
30.10.23	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.04.14	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers	0:5
09.11.13	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	4:2

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