Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+, VTV+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Danubio		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.9
	1.88	3.2	3.95
	1.96	3.41	4.21
	2.01	2.99	4.19	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.9
	1.91	3.38	4.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.08)	3.23 ↑ (3.23)	4.07 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
48.3%

Draw
28.9%

Miramar Misiones
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Danubio - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (C) 18. Mayada C. 23. Gonzalez M. 2. Velazquez E. 6. Sosa L. 19. Romero S. 35. Pais N. 11. Sanseviero L. 28. Femia E. 33. Sanchez V. 9. Nunez S.	30. Moreno J. (G) 19. Olivera A. (C) 29. Ayala J. 14. Alonso F. 16. Gomez M. 22. Diaz O. 8. Pandiani A. 20. Castro A. 25. Olivera D. 5. Roldan M. 31. Da Silva S.
Substitutes
31. Amaro J. 27. Arguello M. 38. Cardozo E. 14. Fernandez J. 30. Fernandez S. 32. Martinez K. (G) 10. Peralta M. 7. Pintos I. 4. Risso M.	26. Crisafi J. F. 12. Gonzalez L. (G) 4. Lopez P. 27. Lopez S. 23. Nunez D. 10. Ramirez G. 17. Saliadarre E. 13. Sanchez C. 18. Tirado F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', Castro A. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Nunez S. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Da Silva S. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Da Silva S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sanchez V. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
46', Ayala J. 🟨,
51', 2 - 2, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
62', Romero S. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
62', Femia E. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
69', Roldan M. ↓, Saliadarre E. ↑,
75', Pandiani A. 🟨,
77', Olivera D. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
77', Pandiani A. ↓, Gelos N. ↑,
78', Nunez S. ↓, Pintos I. ↑,
78', Sosa L. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
82', Da Silva S. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
89', Gomez M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Ramirez G. ⚽,
90+1', Ramirez G. 🟨,
90+3', Moreno J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 4.

Danubio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Danubio is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Miramar Misiones - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.79%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.08.25	Progreso - Danubio	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Cerro Largo - Danubio	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Nacional Montevideo - Danubio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWTL
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.08.25	Miramar Misiones - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Miramar Misiones - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Plaza Colonia - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	Boston River - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.05.25	Danubio - Miramar Misiones	2:0
09.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	1:0
02.11.24	Danubio - Miramar Misiones	1:0
07.07.24	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	2:3
28.04.24	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	3:5
16.03.14	Danubio - Miramar Misiones	3:1
20.10.13	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	1:1

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