Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 4

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Montevideo Wanderers		Danubio

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.20	3.25
	2.35	3.10	2.87
	2.33	3.10	3.00
	2.37	3.25	3.36
	2.33	3.03	3.27	Watch
	2.30	3.00	3.00
	2.23	3.27	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)	3.14 ↑ (3.04)	3.13 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
40.4%

Draw
29.8%

Danubio
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Montevideo Wanderers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Buffa A. (G) 6. Zazpe L. 13. Formiliano F. 17. Garcia A. 21. Benitez S. 31. Furtado N. 5. Queiroz N. 16. Alberti J. 19. Zeballos J. 30. Labandeira F. 80. Urretaviscaya J. (C)	1. Goicoechea M. (C) 40. Balatti F. 2. Velazquez E. 4. Rinaldi M. 31. Cavanagh T. 5. Millan J. 16. Rossi I. 18. Mayada C. 8. Rodriguez S. 21. Azambuja N. 7. Cabrera E.
Substitutes
14. Acosta M. 27. Blengio L. 10. Cosentino L. 29. Crucci E. 25. Freitas G. 20. Guzman S. 11. Luna J. 22. Porro E. 12. Rio J. (G) 7. Rivero R.	28. Femia E. 30. Fernandez S. 20. Ferreira M. 15. Figueroa E. 33. Garcia D. 32. Martinez K. (G) 22. Montana A. 10. Peralta M. 3. Pereyra J. 6. Sosa L.
Coaches
Corujo M.	Ramos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Corujo M. 🟨,
68', Garcia A. ↓, Rivero R. ↑,
68', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
68', Millan J. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
69', Cabrera E. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
77', Rivero R. 🟨,
78', Zazpe L. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
78', Zeballos J. ↓, Cosentino L. ↑,
78', Labandeira F. ↓, Crucci E. ↑,
81', Azambuja N. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
81', Cavanagh T. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
85', Rodriguez S. ↓, Montana A. ↑,
88', Velazquez E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 2.

Recent performances by Wanderers have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Danubio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wanderers will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15
13	Danubio	9	1	4	4	4:10	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Danubio - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.01%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	2:5 ✺
24.05.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTWL
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.05.26	Danubio - Progreso	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Danubio - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Nacional Montevideo - Danubio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
21.03.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	2:1
06.09.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	0:2
16.03.25	Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers	2:2
28.09.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	2:2
24.03.24	Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.11.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	3:0

Upcoming Matches