Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 14

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Ena A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Mirandés		Burgos

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.35	Watch
	3.1	2.98	2.38	Watch
	3.38	3	2.47
	3.12	3.12	2.40	Watch
	3.24	3.03	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.12)	3.02 ↓ (3.12)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
29.5%

Draw
31.4%

Burgos
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	5.6%	72.2%

Mirandés - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Burgos will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mirandés (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Burgos (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Mirandés (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burgos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Burgos (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Juanpa (G) 27. Tamarit T. 4. Pascual M. 21. Postigo S. (C) 22. Gutierrez J. 17. Perez P. 26. Bauza R. 6. Helguera T. 8. Martin Luis A. 14. Mari A. 10. Fernandez C.	13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 5. Atienza M. (C) 23. Morante I. 21. Cordoba I. 16. Curro 9. Nino F.
Substitutes
18. Barea Fernandez I. 11. Cardero A. 24. Cordoba I. 30. El Jebari S. 20. Eto'o E. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 19. Illesca M. 3. Medrano F. 2. Novoa Ramos H. 9. Petit G. 5. Pica A. 7. Varela I.	10. Appin K. 15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 18. Cordoba A. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 31. Garcia F. 35. Gonzalez D. (G) 20. Gonzalez M. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Galvan J.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
39', Tamarit T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Perez P. 🟨,
54', Pascual M. 🟨,
61', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
61', Cordoba I. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
70', Martin Luis A. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
72', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
75', Mari A. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
76', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
81', Nino F. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
81', Curro ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, Gonzalez M. (Pen),
90+4', Tamarit T. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
90+4', Pascual M. ↓, Novoa Ramos H. ↑,
90+4', Helguera T. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 4.

In recent matches, Mirandés has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burgos is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mirandés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Nikic I. (International duty)

There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
07.11.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Leonesa - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Mirandés - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Ceuta - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLL
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
10.11.25	Burgos - Castellón	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Leganés - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Cádiz - Burgos	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.25	Mirandés - Burgos	2:1
13.10.24	Burgos - Mirandés	0:1
21.04.24	Mirandés - Burgos	2:1
09.12.23	Burgos - Mirandés	0:0
23.04.23	Mirandés - Burgos	2:1
16.10.22	Burgos - Mirandés	2:1
10.04.22	Mirandés - Burgos	3:1

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