Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+


	Mirandés		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.9	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.2	4.27
	2.18	3.21	3.48	Watch
	2.13	3.19	3.86	Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.88)	3.19 ↓ (3.48)	3.84 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
45.8%

Draw
29.6%

Real Sociedad B
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Mirandés - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 2 - 40%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikic I. (G) 27. Tamarit T. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 24. Cordoba I. 3. Medrano F. 17. Perez P. 6. Helguera T. 11. Cardero A. 26. Bauza R. 14. Mari A. 10. Fernandez C.	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 5. Rodriguez P. (C) 15. Kita K. 3. Balda J. 7. Diaz D. 17. Astiazaran L. 14. Carbonell T. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 19. Marchal A.
Substitutes
36. Alutiz H. 18. Barea Fernandez I. 30. El Jebari S. 20. Eto'o E. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 19. Illesca M. 8. Martin Luis A. 4. Pascual M. 9. Petit G. 5. Pica A. 7. Varela I.	23. Agote U. 38. Beitia L. 37. Calderon I. 32. Folgado T. (G) 29. Garro J. 33. Gorosabel J. 34. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 26. Ramirez D.
Coaches
Galvan J.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Mariezkurrena A. 🟨,
39', Bauza R. 🟨,
44', Astiazaran L. 🟨,
45', Cordoba I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Fernandez C. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
64', Cardero A. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
65', Kita K. 🟥,
67', Diaz D. ↓, Calderon I. ↑,
72', Perez P. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
84', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
84', Eceizabarrena J. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
84', Marchal A. ↓, Agote U. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Varela I. ⚽, Medrano F. (A),
88', Balda J. ↓, Gorosabel J. ↑,
90+1', Mari A. ↓, Barea Fernandez I. ↑,
90+6', Medrano F. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 4.

Mirandés has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Sociedad B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mirandés will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mirandés: Juanpa (Red Card) Lopez P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Ochieng J. (Yellow Cards) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Ochieng J. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Málaga - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mirandés - Burgos	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Leonesa - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
24.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
18.11.25	Newcastle United U21 - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
15.11.25	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	5:4 ✺
08.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Leganés	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
19.03.22	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	1:3
13.12.21	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.05.19	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	2:1
16.12.18	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	0:1
21.04.18	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	0:1
26.11.17	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	0:2

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