Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 30

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Mirandés		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.15
	2.22	3.3	3.61
	2.18	3.33	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
	2.19	3.44	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.48)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	3.34 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
43.2%

Draw
28.7%

Cádiz
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirandés's performance.

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cádiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirandés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	20.8%	33.3%

Mirandés - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Cádiz will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mirandés (1.35) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cádiz will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Cádiz (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Juanpa (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 19. Maras N. 15. Cabello J. 20. Sia D. 29. Houary A. 16. Clua S. 18. Bauza R. 28. Hernandez J. 9. Balde S.	1. Gil D. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 2. Moreno J. 6. Recio I. 33. Pereira R. 15. Ortuno S. 5. Diakite M. 11. Suso (C) 18. Diarra Y. 10. Ocampo B. 23. Pascual A.
Substitutes
24. Cordoba I. 48. del Cura U. 30. El Jebari S. 6. Helguera T. 11. Malsa M. 8. Martin Luis A. 1. Nikic I. (G) 4. Pascual M. 5. Pica A. 21. Postigo S. 27. Tamarit T. 7. Varela I.	38. Arribas S. 13. Aznar V. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 17. Camara D. 16. Cordero A. 19. de la Rosa J. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 24. Gonzalez J. 3. Kouame R. 14. Kovacevic B. 9. Marti R.
Coaches
Muneta A.	Sergio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Ocampo B. ⚽, Ortuno S. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Diarra Y. ⚽, Recio I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maras N. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
46', Sia D. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
46', Houary A. ↓, del Cura U. ↑,
59', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Tamarit T. ↑,
66', Pascual A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
67', Ocampo B. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
78', Balde S. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
78', Suso ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
79', Carcelen I. ↓, Kovacevic B. ↑,
83', Diarra Y. ↓, de la Rosa J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 0.

Recent form of Mirandés has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cádiz has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Mari A. (Injury) Medrano F. (Red Card) Perez P. (Yellow Cards) Postigo S. (Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Kovacevic B. (Injury) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Tabatadze I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mirandés: Malsa M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Climent M. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Mirandés - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Cádiz - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.94%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
07.03.26	Burgos - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Mirandés - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Huesca - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandés - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWTL
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.26	Cádiz - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar - Cádiz	3:1 ✺
23.02.26	Cádiz - Real Sociedad B	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Burgos - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Cádiz - Almería	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.08.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	1:0
27.01.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	3:1
09.11.24	Mirandés - Cádiz	2:2
15.01.20	Cádiz - Mirandés	3:3
24.08.19	Mirandés - Cádiz	1:2
04.02.17	Cádiz - Mirandés	2:1
03.09.16	Mirandés - Cádiz	3:2

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