Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Cádiz		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2	3.25	3.4
	2.05	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.54
	2.03	3.33	3.87	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.06	3.33	3.91
	2.05	3.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.95)	3.28 ↓ (3.53)	3.67 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
46%

Draw
28.5%

Real Sociedad B
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.7%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	36.4%	22.7%

Cádiz - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 20.4% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Cádiz (1.27) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.25 - Real Sociedad B (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 3 - 50%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Aznar V. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 2. Moreno J. 6. Recio I. 33. Pereira R. 16. Cordero A. 5. Diakite M. 15. Ortuno S. 10. Ocampo B. 9. Marti R. 23. Pascual A.	1. Fraga A. (G) 29. Garro J. 4. Beitia L. 15. Kita K. 3. Balda J. 7. Diaz D. 14. Carbonell T. 31. Aguirre I. 8. Rodriguez M. 18. Carrera G. 11. Ochieng J.
Substitutes
38. Arribas S. 17. Camara D. 20. Carcelen I. 19. de la Rosa J. 18. Diarra Y. 37. Domina J. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 24. Gonzalez J. 22. Ontiveros J. 11. Suso	23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 17. Astiazaran L. 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 33. Gorosabel J. 19. Marchal A. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 30. Olasagasti L. (G) 39. Unax A.
Coaches
Garitano G.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Balda J. 🟨,
36', Aguirre I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ocampo B. ↓, de la Rosa J. ↑,
53', Marti R. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
61', Diaz D. ↓, Astiazaran L. ↑,
64', Pascual A. ↓, Suso ↑,
64', Cordero A. ↓, Ontiveros J. ↑,
70', de la Rosa J. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Ochieng J. ⚽,
76', Caicedo A. ↓, Carcelen I. ↑,
79', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
80', Rodriguez M. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
80', Beitia L. ↓, Unax A. ↑,
90', Carrera G. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Astiazaran L. ⚽, Balda J. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).

Cádiz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Real Sociedad B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cádiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cádiz might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.26	Burgos - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Cádiz - Almería	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Huesca - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cádiz - Granada	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
16.02.26	Real Sociedad B - Málaga	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	FC Andorra - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
03.02.26	Nottingham Forest U21 - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.01.26	Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leganés - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Real Sociedad B - Cádiz	3:3

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