The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mirandés 28.2%
Draw 31.7%
Leganés 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
32.1%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
32.8%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
66.7%
13.3%
Mirandés - Leganés Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Leganés will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Mirandés (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Juanpa (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 4. Pascual M. 24. Cordoba I. 17. Perez P. 26. Bauza R. 18. Barea Fernandez I. 19. Illesca M. 9. Petit G. 30. El Jebari S.
1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 11. Duk 24. Diawara A. 26. Guirao C. 17. Garcia N. 10. Cruz J. 9. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
11. Cardero A. 20. Eto'o E. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 6. Helguera T. 29. Lopez P. 14. Mari A. 8. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 5. Pica A. 21. Postigo S. 27. Tamarit T. 7. Varela I.
21. Campos A. 22. Figueredo S. 15. Franquesa E. 19. Garcia D. 31. Garrido J. (G) 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 23. Millan A. 18. Pauwels B. 20. Plano O. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Justo F.
Lopez P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Barea Fernandez I. 🟨,
18', Duk 🟨,
22', Illesca M. 🟨,
40', Novoa Ramos H. 🟨,
42', Pascual M. 🟨,
45', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Petit G. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
64', Duk ↓, Plano O. ↑,
64', de la Fuente M. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
70', Illesca M. ↓, Helguera T. ↑,
70', El Jebari S. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
72', Guirao C. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
77', Eto'o E. 🟨,
84', Bauza R. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
88', Marvel ↓, Franquesa E. ↑,
88', Garcia N. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Mirandés: Nikic I.
(International duty)
There will not play in Leganés: Pulido R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Mirandés: Postigo S.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).