Match Info

J2 League - Round 7

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.04	3.25	3.55	Watch
	2.07	3.26	3.63	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	1.96	3.41	3.76	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
44.6%

Draw
28.7%

Iwaki
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Mito HollyHock - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Iwaki will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 36. Itakura K. 5. Chinen T. 2. Omori S. 6. Iida T. 24. Yamazaki K. 10. Maeda R. 23. Tsukui T. 39. Yamamoto H. 7. Watanabe A. 44. Okuda K.	21. Matsumoto R. (G) 37. Yamauchi R. 17. Yamada Y. 2. Ishida Y. 15. Kase N. 24. Yamashita Y. 6. Sakagishi K. 14. Yamaguchi D. 7. Ishiwatari N. 16. Kato T. 10. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
9. Ando M. 32. Ikari A. 82. Kawakami K. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 27. Okita S. 3. Osaki K. 8. Saito S. 97. Takahashi T.	32. Igarashi S. 39. Joo H. (G) 20. Kato Y. 13. Murakami H. 8. Shibata S. 30. Shota K. 25. Unoki F.
Coaches
Mori N.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Yamazaki K. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Tanimura K. ⚽, Yamaguchi D. (A),
31', 2 - 1, Yamamoto H. ⚽, Watanabe A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yamada Y. ↓, Igarashi S. ↑,
56', Kase N. ↓, Unoki F. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Tsukui T. ⚽,
62', Tanimura K. 🟨,
63', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Murakami H. ↑,
63', Sakagishi K. ↓, Kato Y. ↑,
67', Okuda K. ↓, Kusano Y. ↑,
67', Watanabe A. ↓, Ando M. ↑,
75', Maeda R. ↓, Kawakami K. ↑,
88', 4 - 1, Kusano Y. ⚽, Iida T. (A),
88', Kusano Y. 🟨,
90+1', Yamazaki K. ↓, Ikari A. ↑,
90+1', Yamamoto H. ↓, Okita S. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Recent matches Mito HollyHock is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Iwaki is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Iwaki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mito HollyHock will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Mito HollyHock won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Omiya Ardija - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Oita Trinita - Mito HollyHock	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Ehime	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTTT
- Iwaki FC
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	4:3 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Iwaki - Imabari	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Fujieda MYFC - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Iwaki - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Iwaki - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
26.10.24	Iwaki - Mito HollyHock	1:2
24.02.24	Mito HollyHock - Iwaki	1:0
09.07.23	Iwaki - Mito HollyHock	4:3
26.02.23	Mito HollyHock - Iwaki	2:2

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