Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 5

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.3	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.35
	2.9	3.1	2.41	Watch
	2.85	3.24	2.52
	2.98	3.13	2.44	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.38
	2.91	3.26	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.74)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	2.4 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
31.8%

Draw
29.7%

Vegalta Sendai
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Matsubara S. (G) 6. Iida T. 35. Iizumi R. 4. Ushizawa T. 2. Omori S. 23. Tsukui T. 24. Yamazaki K. 15. Nagao Y. 8. Saito S. 25. Tada K. 7. Watanabe A.	33. Hayashi A. (G) 25. Mase T. 44. Inoue S. 5. Sugata M. 39. Ishio R. 11. Goke Y. 8. Takeda H. 10. Kamada H. 14. Sagara R. 9. Eron 47. Araki S.
Substitutes
9. Ando M. 36. Itakura K. 11. Kusano Y. 10. Maeda R. 34. Nishikawa K. (G) 41. Nose R. 27. Okita S. 44. Okuda K. 39. Yamamoto H.	17. Kudo A. 6. Matsui R. 99. Miyazaki K. 24. Myogan T. 3. Okuyama M. 2. Takada R. 21. Umeda R. (G) 18. Umeki T. 40. Yasuno T.
Coaches
Mori N.	Moriyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 1 - 0, Iida T. ⚽, Watanabe A. (A),
60', 2 - 0, Watanabe A. ⚽, Nagao Y. (A),
70', Saito S. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Goke Y. ⚽, Eron (A),
76', Ushizawa T. 🟨,
78', Eron ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
79', Sagara R. ↓, Myogan T. ↑,
81', Watanabe A. ↓, Itakura K. ↑,
81', Tada K. ↓, Ando M. ↑,
83', Takeda H. 🟨,
86', Tsukui T. ↓, Okita S. ↑,
86', Yamazaki K. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
86', Araki S. ↓, Umeki T. ↑,
86', Kamada H. ↓, Matsui R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Miyazaki K. ⚽,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 3.

Recent matches Mito HollyHock is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mito HollyHock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Mito HollyHock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
09.03.25	Oita Trinita - Mito HollyHock	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Ehime	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mito HollyHock - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Júbilo Iwata - Mito HollyHock	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.25	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTWLT
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
07.03.25	Vegalta Sendai - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Tokushima Vortis - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Sagan Tosu - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
10.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai	0:1
09.03.24	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	1:0
16.09.23	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	0:1
07.05.23	Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai	1:0
03.09.22	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	1:2
27.02.22	Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai	2:3
Club Friendly
27.01.20	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	0:2

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