The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Omiya Ardija 31.9%
Draw 27.6%
Iwaki 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
26.8%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
27.1%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omiya Ardija's form might have worsened.
Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Iwaki's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Iwaki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
Omiya Ardija - Iwaki Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Iwaki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Glover T. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 19. Ozaki Y. 88. Nishio R. 3. Kato H. 15. Nakayama K. 6. Ishikawa T. 11. Caprini 23. Sugimoto K. 14. Izumi T. 90. Sunday O.
23. Sasaki M. (G) 15. Nakano H. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 30. Shota K. 3. Endo R. 27. Yamanaka A. 10. Nishitani R. 22. Takahashi Y. 32. Owie W. 14. Yamaguchi D.
Substitutes
20. Hidaka H. 17. Kanda T. 1. Kasahara T. (G) 43. Kobayashi Y. 7. Kojima M. 27. Matsui T. 22. Motegi R. 34. Murakami Y. 45. Yamamoto O.
16. Araki M. 39. Joo H. (G) 11. Kato T. 2. Konno I. 5. Kuwata T. 40. Nagaki R. 7. Nakajima S. 29. Tanaka K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Izumi T. ⚽, Sugimoto K. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Endo R. ⚽, Yamanaka A. (A),
28', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Caprini ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Owie W. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
46', Nishitani R. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
46', Shota K. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Sunday O. ⚽, Izumi T. (A),
65', Endo R. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
70', Caprini ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Yamanaka A. ⚽, Takahashi Y. (A),
81', Izumi T. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
81', Yamanaka A. ↓, Konno I. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Omiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.5:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Omiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 2:3.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Iwaki - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Glover T. (G) 
Sekiguchi K. 
Caprini 
Sunday O. 
Joo H. (G) 
