The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Omiya Ardija 52.1%
Draw 25.6%
Mito HollyHock 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
24.3%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
23.3%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
0%
28.6%
Omiya Ardija - Mito HollyHock Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 55. Gabriel 4. Ichihara R. 20. Shimoguchi W. 22. Motegi R. 30. Arthur Feitoza 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 10. Toyokawa Y. 23. Sugimoto K. 42. Fujii K.
21. Matsubara S. (G) 6. Iida T. 35. Iizumi R. 5. Chinen T. 2. Omori S. 23. Tsukui T. 24. Yamazaki K. 15. Nagao Y. 17. Ashibe K. 25. Tada K. 7. Watanabe A.
Substitutes
29. Caprini 6. Ishikawa T. 15. Nakayama K. 37. Sekiguchi K. 40. Shimura K. (G) 90. Sunday O. 5. Urakami N. 41. Yachida T. 16. Yasumitsu S.
9. Ando M. 36. Itakura K. 82. Kawakami K. 11. Kusano Y. 10. Maeda R. 34. Nishikawa K. (G) 44. Okuda K. 3. Osaki K. 39. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.
Mori N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', Ashibe K. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
67', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Caprini ↑,
67', Fujii K. ↓, Sunday O. ↑,
70', Tada K. ↓, Kusano Y. ↑,
70', Watanabe A. ↓, Osaki K. ↑,
71', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
78', Izumi T. ↓, Yasumitsu S. ↑,
78', Motegi R. ↓, Sekiguchi K. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Sunday O. ⚽, Gabriel (A),
83', 2 - 0, Sugimoto K. ⚽,
84', Tsukui T. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
84', Yamazaki K. ↓, Ando M. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Omiya won 0.
Omiya is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Mito HollyHock is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mito HollyHock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Omiya is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Omiya to win the game is with odds 1.71.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Omiya won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Omiya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.3:1.6).