Match Info

J.League Cup - First stage - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 3h 36m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito) 🌤️ ...


	Mito HollyHock		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.60	1.90	Watch
	3.40	3.25	1.93
	3.30	3.20	1.98
	3.75	3.52	2.05
	3.52	3.54	1.99	Watch
	3.65	3.45	2.00
	3.50	3.46	1.98
	3.40	3.40	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	1.97 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
26.4%

Draw
26.9%

Cerezo Osaka
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

25.5%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Mito HollyHock - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Mito HollyHock is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cerezo Osaka has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cerezo Osaka is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Mito HollyHock has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mito HollyHock against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Mito HollyHock - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.72%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
25.10.26	Tokyo - Mito HollyHock	6:0 ✺
21.10.26	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Mito HollyHock - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.10.26	Mito HollyHock - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
25.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - JEF United Chiba	2:2 ✺
21.10.26	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	2:4 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Gainare Tottori - Cerezo Osaka	2:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
10.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.10.16	Cerezo Osaka - Mito HollyHock	2:2
05.03.16	Mito HollyHock - Cerezo Osaka	0:1
23.09.15	Cerezo Osaka - Mito HollyHock	2:2
14.06.15	Mito HollyHock - Cerezo Osaka	1:1

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