Match Info

J1 League - Round 5

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mito HollyHock		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.80	1.66	Watch
	4.80	3.60	1.70
	4.40	3.50	1.74	Watch
	5.10	3.86	1.75
	4.67	3.7	1.76	Watch
	5.10	3.85	1.69
	4.79	3.83	1.72	Watch
	5.00	3.80	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.8)	3.74 ↑ (3.15)	1.71 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
19.6%

Draw
25.2%

Kashima Antlers
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

29.2%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kashima Antlers's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 25. Mase T. 15. Kimoto Y. 4. Kawazura A. 7. Omori S. 11. Torikai Y. 3. Osaki K. 19. Semba T. 22. Taniguchi K. 9. Nemoto R. 10. Watanabe A. (C)	1. Hayakawa T. (G) 37. Hirose R. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 7. Ogawa R. 27. Matsumura Y. 10. Shibasaki G. (C) 8. Matheus Bueno 17. Elber 40. Suzuki Y. 9. Leo Ceara
Substitutes
38. Hugo Leonardo 50. Ieizumi R. 8. Kato C. 70. Matheus Leiria 33. Patryck 27. Slowik J. (G) 16. Tamura Y. 18. Uchino K. 39. Yamamoto H.	77. Cavric A. 24. Hayashu H. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 6. Misao K. 35. Motosuna A. 11. Tagawa K. 23. Tsukui K. 21. Yamada T. (G) 30. Yoshida M.
Coaches
Kimori D.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Hayakawa T. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Watanabe A. (Penalty Awarded),
21', 2 - 0, Watanabe A. ⚽, Torikai Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Ueda N. ↓, Kim Tae-Hyeon ↑,
46', Matheus Bueno ↓, Misao K. ↑,
46', Elber ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Watanabe A. ⚽, Semba T. (A),
53', 3 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
55', 4 - 1, Watanabe A. ⚽, Torikai Y. (A),
62', Torikai Y. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
62', Nemoto R. ↓, Uchino K. ↑,
68', Hirose R. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
70', Uchino K. 🟨,
80', Watanabe A. ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
80', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
81', Shibasaki G. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
83', 4 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Tsukui K. (A),
90+1', Osaki K. ↓, Ieizumi R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 1.

Kashima is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kashima is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Fofana M. (Inactive) Hayakawa U. (Knee Injury) Iwasaki H. (Inactive) Kamiyama M. (Finger Injury) Shimatani K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Higuchi Y. (Leg Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.09% Mito: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWTLL
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Atletico Suzuka	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.05.26	Kashima Antlers - Mito HollyHock	3:0
04.04.26	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties
Club Friendly
01.02.25	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	1:1
10.02.24	Kashima Antlers - Mito HollyHock	1:0
01.02.20	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	0:1
03.02.18	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	3:4
Japan Emperors Cup
14.10.15	Kashima Antlers - Mito HollyHock	0:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches