Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Promotion - Final

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)


	Fagiano Okayama		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.22	3.26	3.62
	2.19	3.09	3.52	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.19	3.28	3.45	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)	3.14 ↓ (3.24)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
43.3%

Draw
29.6%

Vegalta Sendai
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sendai will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 15. Motoyama H. 6. Wakasa Y. 14. Tabei R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 27. Kimura T. 19. Iwabuchi H. 22. Ichimi K.	33. Hayashi A. (G) 25. Mase T. 22. Koide Y. 5. Sugata M. 32. Okuyama M. 11. Goke Y. 17. Kudo A. 10. Kamada H. 14. Sagara R. 98. Eronildo 7. Nakajima M.
Substitutes
1. Hotta D. (G) 33. Kamiya Yuta 99. Lucao 7. Takeuchi R. 10. Tanaka Y. 88. Yanagi T. 5. Yanagi Y.	39. Ishio R. 19. Mateus Moraes 6. Matsui R. 24. Myogan T. 9. Nakayama M. 1. Obata Y. (G) 27. Onaiwu G.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Moriyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Sueyoshi R. ⚽, Kimura T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Eronildo ↓, Onaiwu G. ↑,
61', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Motoyama H. ⚽, Lucao (A),
65', Kamada H. ↓, Matsui R. ↑,
65', Sagara R. ↓, Myogan T. ↑,
67', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
67', Tabei R. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
76', Koide Y. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
76', Kudo A. ↓, Nakayama M. ↑,
81', Lucao 🟨,
90+2', Abe K. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
90+2', Kimura T. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 4.

Okayama in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sendai is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Okayama will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Okayama won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:2 (average 1.8:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
01.12.24	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	0:3 ✺
10.11.24	Kagoshima United - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Fagiano Okayama - Fujieda MYFC	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Yokohama FC - Fagiano Okayama	2:4 ✺
20.10.24	Fagiano Okayama - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWWW
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
30.11.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Vegalta Sendai	1:4 ✺
10.11.24	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
04.11.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Vegalta Sendai	3:1 ✺
27.10.24	Ehime - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Vegalta Sendai - Yokohama FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	2:0
26.05.24	Vegalta Sendai - Fagiano Okayama	1:4
09.09.23	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	1:0
16.04.23	Vegalta Sendai - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
25.09.22	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	3:0
25.05.22	Vegalta Sendai - Fagiano Okayama	0:0

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