Match Info

Date: 2 January 2021, Saturday


	Mitre		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.25
	2.9	3	2.3
	3.15	2.85	2.33
	3	2.9	2.36
	3.16	3.03	2.52
	3.1	2.9	2.35
	2.97	3.04	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (4.14)	2.96 ↓ (3.27)	2.36 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
30.1%

Draw
31%

Barracas Central
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

28%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.5%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mitre's performance.

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mitre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+23.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barracas Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.4%	25.6%	17.9%

Mitre - Barracas Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 22 - 56.4%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mitre: 40.8% – 72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Mitre is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barracas Central is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barracas Central will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.12.20	Mitre - Alvarado	2:2 ✺
20.12.20	San Martín de San Juan - Mitre	1:1 ✺
14.12.20	Mitre - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
06.12.20	Guillermo Brown - Mitre	4:2 ✺
28.11.20	Mitre - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTLT
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.12.20	Barracas Central - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
19.12.20	Alvarado - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
12.12.20	Barracas Central - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	San Martín de San Juan - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.10.19	Mitre - Barracas Central	4:2

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