Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Claudio Fabian Tapia (Barracas)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Barracas Central		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	4	2.82	2.15
	3.65	2.95	2.22
	3.99	2.97	2.28
	3.73	2.9	2.27	Watch
	3.75	2.75	2.15
	3.74	2.9	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.3)	2.88 ↑ (2.85)	2.23 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
24.8%

Draw
32.8%

Belgrano
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

32.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

32.2%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	63.6%	36.4%

Barracas Central - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Barracas Central (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Espinola J. (G) 2. Capraro N. 32. Tobio F. 31. Demartini N. 4. Martinez D. 5. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. (C) 6. Insua R. 11. Briasco N. 8. Porra T. 7. Bruera F.	25. Cardozo T. (G) 14. Morales L. 17. Lopez L. 16. Ricca F. 2. Maldonado A. 20. Vazquez F. 21. Sanchez A. 26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 10. Zelarayan L. (C) 22. Fernandez N. 51. Hernandes R.
Substitutes
28. Bogarin R. 37. Campi G. 20. Candia J. 25. Gordillo Y. 16. Guaraz I. A. 14. Jappert K. 33. Maroni G. 30. Mino M. (G) 9. Morales G. 79. Puig M. 15. Rak Y. 24. Taborda E.	59. Castro T. 28. Daniele M. (G) 45. Falcon A. 11. Gonzalez F. 37. Gutierrez L. 42. Lucco J. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Ocampo A. 9. Passerini L. 3. Sporle A. 15. Tulian R. 30. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Insua R.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Tapia I. ↓, Guaraz I. A. ↑,
64', Briasco N. ↓, Taborda E. ↑,
64', Martinez D. ↓, Jappert K. ↑,
67', Hernandes R. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
67', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Lucco J. ↑,
70', Porra T. ↓, Candia J. ↑,
79', Morales L. 🟥,
81', Fernandez N. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
82', Miloc D. ↓, Bogarin R. ↑,
86', Vazquez F. ↓, Sporle A. ↑,
87', Ricca F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
90', Insua R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barracas Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Belgrano has had a series of home games.

Belgrano might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Belgrano: Lucco J. (Inactive) Rigoni E. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Belgrano: Velazquez J. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Barracas Central - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.83%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Belgrano - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWTLT
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.04.26	Belgrano - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	River Plate - Belgrano	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.03.26	Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Belgrano - Racing	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.09.25	Barracas Central - Belgrano	1:1
16.03.25	Belgrano - Barracas Central	1:1
21.11.24	Barracas Central - Belgrano	1:1
06.07.23	Belgrano - Barracas Central	0:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.12.20	Barracas Central - Belgrano	1:0
22.02.20	Barracas Central - Belgrano	2:3
30.08.19	Belgrano - Barracas Central	1:0

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