Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Vinas N. (Arg)


	Mitre		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.5	Watch
	2	2.95	3.8
	2.05	3	3.8
	2.01	2.95	3.85
	2.07	2.99	4.38
	2.05	2.8	3.9
	1.96	2.98	4.05
	2.04	3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)	4.02 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
45.7%

Draw
31.3%

Alvarado
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

31%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

32.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	50%	7.1%

Mitre - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 18 and 32).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mitre won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mitre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.10.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Mitre	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Morón - Mitre	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Mitre - Temperley	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Deportivo Flandria - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLT
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.10.22	Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Alvarado - Quilmes	3:0 ✺
11.09.22	Deportivo Maipú - Alvarado	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Alvarado - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.10.21	Mitre - Alvarado	1:0
23.06.21	Alvarado - Mitre	3:1
27.12.20	Mitre - Alvarado	2:2
09.11.19	Alvarado - Mitre	2:0
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.05.16	Alvarado - Mitre	0:0
15.05.16	Mitre - Alvarado	1:1

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