Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)


	Mitre		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	6.5
	1.63	3.25	5.75
	1.62	3.25	6.5
	1.67	3.47	6.66
	1.62	3.47	6.66
	1.62	3.25	6
	1.63	3.38	5.91
	1.63	3.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)	6.27 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
57.2%

Draw
27.9%

Brown de Adrogué
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

29.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

29.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mitre's performance.

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Mitre - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Mieres B. 2. Piris O. 6. Melillan F. 3. Ferreyra T. 8. Triverio G. 5. Alessandroni J. 10. Arevalos N. 11. Sanchez M. 7. Castro T. 9. Cabral F.	1. Aguero F. (G) 4. Sangiovani R. 2. Masuero A. (C) 6. Herranz N. 3. Gamarra G. 8. Sproat M. 5. Pereyra N. 7. Patrizio T. 10. Benitez F. 9. Pulicastro F. 11. Castillo L.
Substitutes
14. Diaz C. 20. Encina E. 19. Ferrari M. 15. Gobetto J. P. 18. Isa Luna K. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 16. Posse F. 17. Torres J. 13. Wiechniak F.	14. Aguirre C. 13. Arrechea N. 20. Buter L. 15. Desio G. 16. Lovazzano L. 17. Luque M. 18. Nouet F. 19. Nouet M. 12. Peralta A. (G)
Coaches
Sciacqua M.	Brown J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Piris O. (Pen),
37', Arevalos N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Pereyra N. 🟨,
64', Patrizio T. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
65', Sproat M. ↓, Nouet M. ↑,
66', Cabral F. ↓, Posse F. ↑,
66', Arevalos N. ↓, Isa Luna K. ↑,
74', Nouet M. 🟨,
74', Sciacqua M. 🟥,
75', Pulicastro F. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
79', Masuero A. 🟨,
81', Sangiovani R. ↓, Aguirre C. ↑,
81', Pereyra N. ↓, Desio G. ↑,
83', Herranz N. 🟥,
84', Triverio G. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,
84', Mieres B. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
84', Castro T. ↓, Gobetto J. P. ↑,
90', Gamarra G. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: )).

The competitors look crappy now.

Mitre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mitre is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mitre won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Copa Argentina
15.05.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Mitre	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.05.24	Temperley - Mitre	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Mitre - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Nueva Chicago - Mitre	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLL
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.24	Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Colón	0:4 ✺
22.04.24	Almirante Brown - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.09.23	Mitre - Brown de Adrogué	3:0
14.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Mitre	0:0
08.05.22	Brown de Adrogué - Mitre	0:3
23.02.19	Mitre - Brown de Adrogué	0:1
10.12.17	Mitre - Brown de Adrogué	1:0

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