Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Colón

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.2	1.85
	4.2	3.25	1.87
	4.97	3.36	1.89
	4.97	3.36	1.81
	4.33	3.1	1.85
	4.21	3.22	1.89	Watch
	4.6	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (4.37)	3.27 ↑ (3.22)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
20.5%

Draw
28.7%

Colón
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

28.5%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

27.6%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Brown de Adrogué - Colón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguero F. (C) 4. Sangiovani R. 2. Aguirre C. 6. Herranz N. 3. Luque M. 8. Nouet M. 5. Pereyra N. 10. Benitez F. 11. Castillo L. 7. Lovazzano L. 9. Pulicastro F.	1. Vicentini M. (G) 4. Navas J. 2. Goltz P. 6. Lopes H. 3. Castet F. 5. Prediger S. (C) 7. Talpone N. 8. Jourdan F. 10. Guille B. 11. Lago I. 9. Toledo J.
Substitutes
20. Buter L. 19. Lopez B. 13. Masuero A. 16. Modon S. 17. Nouet F. 14. Palomeque A. 15. Patrizio T. 12. Peralta A. (G) 18. Sproat M.	17. Antonini J. 16. Bernardi C. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 15. Greising E. 14. Henriquez F. 13. Juncos B. 20. Leguizamon N. 18. Sabella A. 19. Vega C.
Coaches
Vico P.	Delfino I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Toledo J. ⚽,
13', Nouet M. 🟨,
13', Jourdan F. 🟨,
16', Aguirre C. 🟨,
18', 0 - 2, Guille B. ⚽,
25', Toledo J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 3, Guille B. ⚽,
45+1', Navas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Benitez F. ↓, Patrizio T. ↑,
46', Lovazzano L. ↓, Palomeque A. ↑,
54', Palomeque A. 🟨,
56', 0 - 4, Jourdan F. ⚽,
58', Luque M. ↓, Modon S. ↑,
58', Castillo L. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
66', Guille B. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
66', Toledo J. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
68', Pulicastro F. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
72', Jourdan F. ↓, Sabella A. ↑,
80', Prediger S. ↓, Vega C. ↑,
80', Lago I. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Brown de Adrogué is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colón is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Colón is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.04.24	Almirante Brown - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
25.03.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTLT
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.24	Colón - Temperley	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Deportivo Morón - Colón	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Colón - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Colón	2:0 ✺
25.03.24	Colón - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWLW

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