Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto Antonio Candini (Cordoba)

Referee: Cavallero L. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	7.5
	1.57	3.4	6
	1.6	3.5	6
	1.71	3.27	5.57
	1.6	3.41	7.27
	1.55	3.4	6.5
	1.6	3.45	6.1
	1.59	3.25	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)	3.37 ↑ (3.17)	6.49 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
58%

Draw
27.6%

Brown de Adrogué
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

29%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

27.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlasina W. (G) 4. Fenoglio V. 2. Arturia G. (C) 6. Gomez Pereyra M. 3. Abraham L. 8. Cainelli N. 5. Romero F. 7. Blanco J. 10. Gonzalez T. 9. Galvan F. 11. Villalba G.	1. Aguero F. (G) 4. Aguirre C. 2. Masuero A. (C) 6. Herranz N. 3. Gamarra G. 8. Nouet M. 5. Pereyra N. 7. Lovazzano L. 10. Benitez F. 9. Pulicastro F. 11. Nouet F.
Substitutes
19. Bonansea A. 13. De Vito Y. 17. Gatani M. 14. Lapetina L. 15. Pavon A. 20. Reynaga R. 18. Rosales M. 12. Strumia J. (G) 16. Tevez M.	13. Arrechea N. 20. Buter L. 19. Castillo L. 14. Luque M. 15. Patrizio T. 12. Peralta A. (G) 16. Sangiovani R. 18. Sosa S. 17. Sproat M.
Coaches
Matteo A.	Vico P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Nouet M. ⚽,
36', Pulicastro F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pulicastro F. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Gonzalez T. ⚽,
66', Benitez F. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
66', Nouet F. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
67', Galvan F. ↓, Gatani M. ↑,
73', Blanco J. ↓, Bonansea A. ↑,
74', Pereyra N. 🟨,
75', Aguirre C. 🟨,
87', Gonzalez T. ↓, Tevez M. ↑,
87', Gomez Pereyra M. ↓, Lapetina L. ↑,
88', Villalba G. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
90+4', Nouet M. ↓, Sproat M. ↑,
90+13', Lovazzano L. ↓, Patrizio T. ↑,
90+16', 2 - 1, Bonansea A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: )).

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brown de Adrogué is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.24	Temperley - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:3 ✺
12.04.24	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWWWT
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Colón	0:4 ✺
22.04.24	Almirante Brown - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.22	Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1

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