Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 8

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Mitre		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.63
	2.55	2.75	2.87
	2.9	2.75	2.7	Watch
	3.12	2.69	2.68	Watch
	2.6	2.75	2.9
	2.86	2.7	2.7	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.7)	2.75 ↓ (2.8)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
32.5%

Draw
33.7%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

33.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia Mendoza: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Diaz C. 2. Wiechniak F. 6. Moscarelli O. 3. Sanchez M. 5. Alessandroni J. (C) 8. Kabalin M. 11. Valdivia G. 9. Rios L. 7. Machado M. 10. Rosales S.	1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 8. Munoz M. 5. Antonio I. 11. Lencioni F. 10. Puch J. 7. Andrada B. 9. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
18. Batista A. 16. Gonzalez E. 14. Gonzalez R. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 17. Lujan S. 13. Manenti F. 19. Martinez E. 15. Penepil M. 20. Romero N.	15. Antonini F. 16. Bustos L. 13. Calderon E. 18. Cingolani L. 20. Esposito G. 14. Recalde M. 12. San Juan F. (G) 19. Servetto N. 17. Torres F.
Coaches
Sciacqua M.	Medran E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Kabalin M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Rios L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Puch J. ⚽,
59', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
64', Valdivia G. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
64', Kabalin M. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
68', Andrada B. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
68', Lencioni F. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
74', Puch J. ↓, Servetto N. ↑,
75', Sanchez M. 🟥,
83', Cingolani L. 🟨,
83', Saavedra F. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
84', Rios L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
85', Machado M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
88', Rosales S. ↓, Manenti F. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mitre won 1.

Recent matches Mitre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimnasia Mendoza is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Mitre won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.25	Central Norte - Mitre	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Mitre - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Chaco For Ever - Mitre	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Mitre - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mitre - Colón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Colón	1:1 ✺
17.03.25	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.09.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Mitre	1:1
Copa Argentina
15.05.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Mitre	0:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.04.24	Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1
16.07.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Mitre	3:0
28.08.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Mitre	0:0
20.04.21	Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2
02.09.18	Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:0

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