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Current Win Probability
Mitre 41.2%
Draw 35%
Ferro Carril Oeste 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
34%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
31.2%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mitre that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferro Carril Oeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Mitre - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
1. Ledesma J. (G) 4. Antunes I. 2. Minissale P. 6. Ferreyra T. 3. Correa L. 8. Romero M. 5. Alessandroni J. 10. Lopez A. 11. Ferrari F. 7. Machado M. 9. Fernandez G.
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Zubowicz M. 6. Canto G. 3. Ozuna E. 8. Kabalin M. 5. Obradovich F. 10. Campos M. 7. Parisi L. 9. Acosta M. 11. Garcia F.
Substitutes
13. Abello D. 19. Cordoba G. G. 17. Gonzalez E. 18. Maldonado M. 15. Mieres B. 12. Pietrobono I. (G) 16. Ramirez A. 14. Vazquez M. 20. Zarate J.
17. Castellani G. 14. Corda S. 20. Dening E. 16. Gomez N. 18. Hoyos E. 19. Menendez J. 15. Olguin G. 13. Pena Biafore L. 12. Ruiz L. (G)
Coaches
Mayor C.
Sara J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Kabalin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Lopez A. 🟨,
53', Lopez A. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
59', Campos M. ↓, Hoyos E. ↑,
67', Obradovich F. ↓, Olguin G. ↑,
67', Kabalin M. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
67', Fernandez G. ↓, Zarate J. ↑,
67', Antunes I. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Acosta M. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Parisi L. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,
82', Garcia F. ↓, Dening E. ↑,
84', Ferrari F. ↓, Cordoba G. G. ↑,
90+1', Castellani G. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 0.
Recent performances by Mitre have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ferro Carril is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Mitre could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mitre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
Watch
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Ledesma J. (G) 
Garcia F. 
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