Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 25

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mitre		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	6
	1.66	3.25	5.25
	1.65	3.15	5.5	Watch
	1.76	3.28	5.82
	1.72	3.26	5.63	Watch
	1.69	3.2	5.7
	1.68	3.1	5.51
	1.66	3.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	3.22 ↑ (3.06)	5.6 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
54.9%

Draw
28.7%

Güemes
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

30.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

29.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Mitre - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 6. Abello D. 5. Alessandroni J. 10. Avaro E. 7. Cabral F. 2. Cabral Y. 3. Ferrari F. 9. Machado M. 11. Maldonado M. 4. Mieres B. 8. Vazquez M.	1. Finochietto L. (G) 5. Baier G. 3. Benitez M. 4. Bordon A. 8. Gerez M. 11. Guinazu L. 2. Juarez W. 6. Martinez M. 10. Ortigoza I. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
14. Correa L. 15. Ferrari M. 16. Gonzalez R. 13. Herdt G. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 17. Lopez A. 19. Mendoza L. 18. Montenegro M. 20. Zarate J.	14. Arnay R. 15. Carranza J. 18. Farrera S. 13. Gonzalez A. (G) 16. Juarez J. 20. Leineker C. 17. Pinto A. 12. Tevez A. (G) 19. Veliz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Cabral Y. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽, Benitez M. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Martinez M. (Own goal),
30', Cabral F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Vazquez M. 🟨,
64', Martinez M. 🟨,
65', Guinazu L. 🟨,
67', Vazquez M. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
67', Maldonado M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
68', Sanchez J. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
74', Gerez M. ↓, Arnay R. ↑,
80', Avaro E. ↓, Mendoza L. ↑,
80', Cabral F. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,
88', Benitez M. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
88', Guinazu L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Mitre is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Güemes has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Mitre is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Mitre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.08.26	Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Mitre	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Mitre - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Mitre - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Mitre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWTWL
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.08.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Güemes	3:0 ✺
03.08.26	Güemes - Tristán Suárez	1:3 ✺
26.07.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Güemes	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Güemes - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Nueva Chicago - Güemes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.26	Güemes - Mitre	2:2
24.08.24	Güemes - Mitre	0:0
07.04.24	Mitre - Güemes	2:0
27.07.22	Güemes - Mitre	1:1

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