Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Carreras J. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	5.5
	1.72	3.5	4.4
	1.75	3.35	4.8
	1.76	3.48	5.22
	1.73	3.3	4.6
	1.76	3.64	4.65
	1.74	3.45	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.74)	3.45 ↑ (3.33)	4.82 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
53.5%

Draw
27.1%

Deportivo Madryn
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.7%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente Rivadavia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Independiente Rivadavia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportivo Madryn is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Independiente Rivadavia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
06.05.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.04.23	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTLW
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Maipú	2:3 ✺
06.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Madryn	1:3 ✺
29.04.23	Deportivo Madryn - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Deportivo Madryn - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Madryn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.09.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Madryn	3:0

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