Match Info

Date: 16 June 2021, Wednesday


	Mitre		Tigre

	1	X	2
	4	3	2	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.85	3.05	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.04
	3.72	3.29	2.12
	3.6	3.1	2	Watch
	3.65	3.3	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.53)	3.15 ↓ (3.17)	2.01 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
25%

Draw
29.2%

Tigre
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

29%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.3%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mitre - Tigre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Play Offs: Final)).

Mitre is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tigre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tigre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tigre will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.05.21	Quilmes - Mitre	2:1 ✺
15.05.21	Mitre - Agropecuario Argentino	1:2 ✺
07.05.21	Deportivo Maipú - Mitre	1:1 ✺
03.05.21	Mitre - Temperley	1:1 ✺
26.04.21	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Mitre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.06.21	Tigre - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
17.05.21	Alvarado - Tigre	1:1 ✺
03.05.21	Tigre - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
26.04.21	Agropecuario Argentino - Tigre	0:0 ✺
19.04.21	Tigre - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTW

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