Match Info

Date: 17 May 2021, Monday


	Alvarado		Tigre

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.6	3	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.05	2.09
	3.6	3.2	2.14
	3.6	3	2.1	Watch
	3.44	3.18	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	3.08 ↑ (2.96)	2.08 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
26.1%

Draw
29.8%

Tigre
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

31.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

20.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alvarado - Tigre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tigre in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alvarado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tigre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.05.21	Quilmes - Alvarado	3:4 ✺
03.05.21	Alvarado - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
25.04.21	Deportivo Maipú - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
15.04.21	Alvarado - Temperley	1:0 ✺
10.04.21	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWL
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.21	Tigre - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
26.04.21	Agropecuario Argentino - Tigre	0:0 ✺
19.04.21	Tigre - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
10.04.21	Temperley - Tigre	0:2 ✺
03.04.21	Tigre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
20.02.21	Tigre - Alvarado	2:1 penalties

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