Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eurico Gaspar Dutra (Cuiabá)


	Mixto		Cianorte

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.87	2.87
	2.08	3	3.35
	2.15	3.05	3.73
	3.69	3.68	1.86	Watch
	2.14	3.24	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.96)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.1 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mixto
39.4%

Draw
30.1%

Cianorte
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

31%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mixto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mixto's form might have worsened.

Cianorte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cianorte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mixto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cianorte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mixto - Cianorte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Tite ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Marcio Maranhao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Mixto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mixto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mixto-MT
Brazilian Serie D
17.08.25	Cianorte - Mixto	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Portuguesa - Mixto	1:1 penalties ✺
02.08.25	Mixto - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Mixto - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Luverdense - Mixto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 TWWTT
- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Serie D
17.08.25	Cianorte - Mixto	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Cianorte - Joinville	4:0 ✺
03.08.25	Joinville - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Operário MS - Cianorte	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Cianorte - Itabirito	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.08.25	Cianorte - Mixto	1:1

Mixto - Cianorte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide