Match Info

Serie D - Round 13

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eurico Gaspar Dutra (Cuiabá)


	Mixto		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.88	2.72	2.52
	2.87	3.1	2.6
	2.65	2.84	2.84	Watch
	2.82	2.73	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.49)	2.88 ↓ (3.08)	2.62 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mixto
33.3%

Draw
31.8%

Aparecidense
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.1%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

29.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mixto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Mixto - Aparecidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

In recent matches, Mixto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aparecidense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mixto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Aparecidense - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mixto-MT
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Luverdense - Mixto	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Mixto - Capital CF Ltda	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ceilândia - Mixto	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Mixto - Goiânia	3:0 ✺
08.06.25	Goianésia - Mixto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWT
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Aparecidense - Goianésia	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Aparecidense - Porto Velho	7:0 ✺
29.06.25	Goiânia - Aparecidense	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Aparecidense - Ceilândia	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Luverdense - Aparecidense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Aparecidense - Mixto	0:0

Mixto - Aparecidense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide