Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eurico Gaspar Dutra (Cuiabá)


	Mixto		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.87	2.45
	2.75	2.75	2.55
	2.92	2.94	2.69
	2.68	2.88	2.77	Watch
	2.84	2.97	2.63
	2.65	3.15	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 (2.75)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mixto
33.3%

Draw
31.3%

Portuguesa
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

31.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

32.1%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	62.5%	0%

Mixto - Portuguesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mixto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mixto (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mixto (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mixto (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Gilvan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Mixto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portuguesa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Portuguesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mixto-MT
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.25	Mixto - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Luverdense - Mixto	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Mixto - Capital CF Ltda	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ceilândia - Mixto	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Mixto - Goiânia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWLW
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Portuguesa - Boavista	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Maricá - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Portuguesa - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Portuguesa - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTW

Mixto - Portuguesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide