The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mjøndalen 38.4%
Draw 27.8%
Sarpsborg 08 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
27%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
19.9%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjøndalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mjøndalen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 08 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mjøndalen - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 8).
Mjøndalen has the most likely position - 15 (43.04%), has project points - 25, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (88%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Sarpsborg has the most likely position - 8 (57.89%), has project points - 40, has currently - 36, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Recent matches Mjøndalen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sarpsborg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Mjøndalen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.