Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lokotrans Arena (Mlada Boleslav) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 1
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 13
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Mladá Boleslav		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.8	2.75
	2.3	3.5	2.65
	2.35	3.75	2.75
	2.44	3.69	2.79
	2.36	3.75	2.67	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.6
	2.45	3.72	2.78
	2.35	3.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.2)	3.71 ↑ (3.05)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladá Boleslav
40%

Draw
25.3%

Jagiellonia Białystok
34.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

29.1%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	26.3%	31.6%

Mladá Boleslav - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mladá Boleslav: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trmal M. (G) 14. Kral T. 17. Suchy M. (C) 3. Kralik M. 30. Marecek D. 5. Sakala B. 12. Stransky V. 66. Vydra P. 20. John S. 10. Ladra T. 23. Kusej V.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 16. Sacek M. 72. Skrzypczak M. 17. Dieguez A. 3. Stojinovic D. 11. Imaz J. (C) 14. Kubicki J. 8. Nene 99. Hansen K. 10. Pululu A. 21. Churlinov D.
Substitutes
70. Buryan J. 13. Donat D. 21. Fila L. 59. Floder J. (G) 11. Fulnek J. 26. Kadlec A. 6. Langhamer D. 8. Matejovsky M. 99. Mikulec P. (G) 15. Penner N. 18. Pulkrab M. 9. Vojta M.	82. Costa Silva T. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 4. Haliti J. 22. Kovacik P. 29. Listkowski M. 39. Nguiamba A. 80. Pietuszewski O. 5. Polak C. 51. Rybak A. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 71. Stypulkowski S. 20. Villar Miki
Coaches
Brannstrom A.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Stransky V. 🟨,
32', Suchy M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sakala B. ↓, Vojta M. ↑,
55', Stojinovic D. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
58', Brannstrom A. 🟨,
70', Vojta M. 🟨,
73', Hansen K. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
73', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Vydra P. ⚽, Kusej V. (A),
77', Nene 🟨,
80', John S. ↓, Fulnek J. ↑,
88', Imaz J. 🟨,
88', Kubicki J. ↓, Costa Silva T. ↑,
89', Kusej V. 🟨,
90', Ladra T. ↓, Pulkrab M. ↑,
90+1', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
90+4', Pulkrab M. 🟨,
90+6', Dieguez A. 🟥,
90+8', Sacek M. 🟨,
90+9', Stransky V. ↓, Matejovsky M. ↑,

Preview

Mladá Boleslav in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jagiellonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Jagiellonia have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Kostka D. (Injury) Kozel D. (Injury) Masek L. (Injury)

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Moutinho J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
08.12.24	Dynamo České Budějovice - Mladá Boleslav	0:4 ✺
05.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Slovan Liberec	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Hradec Králové	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Mladá Boleslav - Betis	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
23.11.24	Slovácko - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWWT
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.12.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.12.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.12.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.11.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTTT

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