Match Info

Date: 30 January 2021, Saturday


	Triestina		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.17	2.85	3.35
	2.28	2.9	3.05
	2.41	3	3.32
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.3	2.95	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.81)	2.93 ↓ (2.96)	3.24 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
40.4%

Draw
31.3%

Cesena
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

22.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Triestina's performance.

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cesena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-1%)

Triestina - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Triestina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cesena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Triestina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Triestina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Triestina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.21	Matelica - Triestina	3:2 ✺
16.01.21	Mantova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Triestina - Fano	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Triestina	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Triestina - Perugia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTLWW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.21	Cesena - Virtus Verona	1:3 ✺
16.01.21	Arezzo - Cesena	0:2 ✺
09.01.21	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
23.12.20	Imolese - Cesena	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Cesena - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.20	Cesena - Triestina	0:2
26.01.20	Triestina - Cesena	4:1
15.09.19	Cesena - Triestina	3:2

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