Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Mojados		Almazán

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.2	1.98
	6.20	1.41	4.73	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.39	3.34	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.17)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)	2.67 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mojados
25.1%

Draw
36.8%

Almazán
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mojados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Almazán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mojados than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almazán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mojados - Almazán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Anta D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Mojados is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almazán's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almazán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mojados has had a series of away games.

Almazán might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mojados won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Mojados won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Almazan	5	1	4	0	8:7	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mojados
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.02.26	Atlético Palencia - Mojados	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mojados - Becerril	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Arandina - Mojados	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Mojados	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	La Virgen del Camino - Mojados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLL
- SD Almazán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.02.26	Almazán - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Almazán - Atlético Palencia	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Becerril - Almazán	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Almazán - Arandina	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Bembibre - Almazán	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.10.25	Almazán - Mojados	4:1
01.05.25	Mojados - Almazán	0:1
21.12.24	Almazán - Mojados	1:1

Mojados - Almazán: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide