Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Almazán		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.82	3.1
	2.29	2.9	3.3
	2.31	2.89	3.26
	2.25	2.75	3.25
	2.26	2.84	3.26
	2.28	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.29)	2.84 ↑ (2.83)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almazán
39.8%

Draw
32%

Arandina
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

31.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almazán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Almazán - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almazán won 2.

Almazán has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arandina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arandina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Almazán will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almazán won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Almazán won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arandina	5	2	2	1	7:6	1	8
9	Almazan	5	1	4	0	8:7	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Almazán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.01.26	Bembibre - Almazán	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Almazán	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Almazán - La Virgen del Camino	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Almazán - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Numancia B - Almazán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTTW
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
17.01.26	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Arandina - Becerril	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Mirandés B - Arandina	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bembibre - Arandina	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.02.23	Almazán - Arandina	1:1
02.10.22	Arandina - Almazán	2:1
19.02.22	Almazán - Arandina	2:1
12.10.21	Arandina - Almazán	2:0
09.10.19	Arandina - Almazán	1:2
02.09.18	Almazán - Arandina	0:4
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.03.18	Almazán - Arandina	0:2

Almazán - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide