The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Molde 80.2%
Draw 12.8%
Jerv 7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
77.6%
15.4%
7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
The chances for Jerv have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.1%
22.6%
19.4%
Molde - Jerv Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Jerv will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 40.7% – 75.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).
Molde has the most likely position - 1 (47.7%), has project points - 63, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (48%), has a chance of win league (48%).
Jerv has the most likely position - 16 (55.57%), has project points - 20, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (89%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality20, importance55, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Molde in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Jerv is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Jerv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.