Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fesnic H. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	iQIYI
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 8
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Mexico	11:45	Claro Sports, FOX Sports 3
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 7
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Molde		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.25
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.25	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.22	3.28	3.51
	2.21	3.29	3.4	Watch
	2.36	3.34	3.18
	2.25	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.03)	3.24 ↓ (3.5)	3.26 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
41.7%

Draw
29.2%

Legia Warsaw
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molde's form might have worsened.

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.6%	29%	19.4%

Molde - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Legia will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlstrom J. (G) 21. Linnes M. (C) 19. Haugan E. 4. Lund V. 18. Stenevik H. 16. Breivik E. 10. Enggaard M. 20. Eriksen K. 17. Daehli M. 5. Hestad E. 8. Gulbrandsen F.	77. Kovacevic V. (G) 13. Wszolek P. 24. Ziolkowski J. 3. Kapuadi S. 19. Vinagre R. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 6. Oyedele M. 5. Goncalves C. 11. Chodyna K. 28. Gual M. 21. Bichakhchyan V.
Substitutes
2. Bjornbak M. 27. Daga D. 42. Fjortoft Lovik M. 9. Ihler F. 30. Juberg-Hovland L. 34. McDermott S. (G) 46. Mork M. 31. Myklebust A. 58. Nakken D. 29. Nyheim G. 22. Posiadala A. (G)	8. Augustyniak R. 22. Elitim J. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 23. Kun P. 82. Luquinhas 51. Mozie P. 52. Olewinski O. 12. Pankov R. 7. Pekhart T. 42. Sergio Barcia 71. Szczepaniak M. 1. Tobiasz K. (G)
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Hestad E. ⚽, Eriksen K. (A),
13', Stenevik H. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Eriksen K. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Gulbrandsen F. ⚽, Breivik E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
61', Oyedele M. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
61', Ziolkowski J. ↓, Pankov R. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Chodyna K. ⚽, Goncalves C. (A),
66', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
67', 3 - 2, Luquinhas ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
72', Hestad E. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
75', Goncalves C. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
75', Kapustka B. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
83', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Bjornbak M. ↑,
90', Luquinhas 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Molde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Molde have a series of home games.

Molde will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Molde: Amundsen I. (Red Card) Bakke J. (Injury) Berisha V. (Leg Injury) Oyvann C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Legia: Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Morishita R. (Yellow Cards)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Molde won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Molde won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Club Friendly
27.02.25	Molde - Ranheim	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.02.25	Shamrock Rovers - Molde	0:2 penalties ✺
13.02.25	Molde - Shamrock Rovers	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.25	Molde - St Patricks Athletic	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Molde - Træff	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLLW
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.03.25	Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
26.02.25	Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.02.25	Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Legia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.02.24	Legia Warsaw - Molde	0:3
15.02.24	Molde - Legia Warsaw	3:2
UEFA Champions League
07.08.13	Legia Warsaw - Molde	0:0
31.07.13	Molde - Legia Warsaw	1:1

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