The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Radomiak Radom 35.4%
Draw 28.5%
Legia Warsaw 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
29.3%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
28.2%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radomiak Radom that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
39.3%
14.3%
46.4%
Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Legia will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 27.9% – 64.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Radomiak (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Radomiak (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Radomiak (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Legia Warsaw will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Legia (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 14. Kingue S. 26. Dieguez A. 3. Wilson-Esbrand J. 2. Camara I. 13. Grzesik J. 6. Baro R. 27. Wolski R. (C) 82. Luquinhas 25. Maurides
89. Hindrich O. (G) 91. Piatkowski K. 8. Augustyniak R. (C) 12. Pankov R. 11. Chodyna K. 53. Urbanski W. 22. Elitim J. 23. Kun P. 21. Bichakhchyan V. 9. Adamski R. 29. Rajovic M.
Substitutes
21. Balde E. 5. Blasco J. 16. Cichocki M. 77. Donis C. 75. Jerke M. (G) 28. Kaput M. 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 7. Lopes V. 19. Soumah S. 15. Tapsoba A. 17. Zabicki A.
55. Jedrzejczyk A. 99. Kovacik S. 77. Krasniqi E. 56. Leszczynski J. 18. Nsame J. 13. Reca A. 44. Szymanski D. 1. Tobiasz K. (G) 82. Urbanski K. 7. Wszolek P.
Coaches
Ramirez F.
Papszun M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Maurides ⚽, Wolski R. (A),
7', 1 - 1, Pankov R. ⚽, Elitim J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luquinhas ↓, Balde E. ↑,
56', Baro R. 🟨,
59', Kingue S. 🟨,
65', Camara I. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
65', Baro R. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
65', Rajovic M. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
74', Urbanski W. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
74', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
76', Maurides ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
80', Kun P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
80', Chodyna K. ↓, Wszolek P. ↑,
80', Wilson-Esbrand J. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
88', Elitim J. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2.
Recent performances by Radomiak have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Legia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Radomiak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Legia: Vinagre R.
(Injury)
Wszolek P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Legia: Arreiol H.
(Inactive)
Zewlakow J.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Legia: 13.85% Radomiak Radom: 0.83%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Legia
9
5
4
0
19:8
11
19
15
Radomiak Radom
9
2
2
5
7:20
-13
8
Last Results with these Odds
Radomiak Radom - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 30.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Legia Warsaw - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
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Croatia
Czech-republic
Finland
Poland
Serbia
Usa
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Majchrowicz F. (G) 
Zie Ouattara 
Kingue S. 
Dieguez A. 
Wilson-Esbrand J. 
Camara I. 
Baro R. 
Luquinhas 
Hindrich O. (G) 
Pankov R. 
Elitim J. 
Bichakhchyan V. 
Rajovic M. 
Balde E. 
Blasco J. 
Donis C. 
Lopes V. 
Tapsoba A. 
Kovacik S. 
Krasniqi E. 
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