Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 4

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)


	Molde		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.38	5.25	7.5
	1.43	5.11	7.38
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.42	4.8	7.1	Watch
	1.43	4.7	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.26)	4.83 ↓ (5.47)	7.3 ↓ (9.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
67.4%

Draw
19.6%

Stabæk
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.4%

17%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molde's form might have worsened.

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Molde - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Stabæk will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molde has the most likely position - 2 (25.29%), project points - 54, currently - 1, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of qualify for ucl (14%), a small chance of win league (14%).

Stabæk has the most likely position - 13 (10.65%), project points - 34, currently - 4, a chance of relegated (23%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 32, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Molde won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Molde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Molde have a series of guest games.

In this match Molde is certain favorite.

There will not play in Molde: Eikrem M. (Red Card) Ellingsen M. (Knee Injury) Haugen K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Molde: Andersen E. (Injury) Sinyan S. (Injury) Zekhnini R. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Molde won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 49-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Molde won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.04.23	Lillestrøm SK - Molde	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Molde - Rosenborg	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Tromsø - Molde	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Aalesunds - Molde	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
18.03.23	Stabæk - Molde	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
26.04.23	Stabæk - Brann	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.04.23	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:0 ✺
16.04.23	Bodø Glimt - Stabæk	4:0 ✺
10.04.23	Stabæk - Odd	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.04.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
18.03.23	Stabæk - Molde	2:1 penalties
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.10.21	Stabæk - Molde	0:3
20.06.21	Molde - Stabæk	2:1
21.11.20	Stabæk - Molde	0:3
28.06.20	Molde - Stabæk	4:1
23.09.19	Stabæk - Molde	1:2
07.04.19	Molde - Stabæk	3:0

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