Match Info

Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Mombasa United		Kariobangi Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.47	2.93	2.89
	2.4	2.75	2.8
	2.34	2.8	3.26
	2.37	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)	2.83 ↓ (3.18)	2.96 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mombasa United
37.7%

Draw
31.9%

Kariobangi Sharks
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mombasa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Kariobangi Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Mombasa United - Kariobangi Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Mombasa United	3	0	1	2	1:3	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mombasa United
Kenyan Super League
27.05.26	Mombasa United - 3K	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Mombasa United - Migori Youth	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Kibera Black Stars - Mombasa United	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Mombasa United - Vihiga United	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Mombasa United - MCF	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLLW
- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Sofapaka	6:0 ✺
03.05.26	Bidco United - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
10.04.26	Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTWWW

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