Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	Canal+ Sport 5, Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Eleven Sports
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Monaco		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.4	4.6	8.25
	1.37	4.8	8.5
	1.4	4.6	7.8
	1.42	4.7	9.32
	1.4	4.4	8.5
	1.4	4.7	8.2	Watch
	1.44	4.8	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	4.64 ↓ (4.8)	8.46 ↑ (8.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monaco
68.1%

Draw
20.6%

Ajaccio
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

19.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	4.7%	10.9%

Monaco - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (54 of 64 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.49% – 93.27%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Monaco has the most likely position - 4 (20.36%), has project points - 67, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (21%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 18 (13.89%), has project points - 37, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 60, importance 48, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Monaco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Monaco is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Volland K. (Ribs Injury)

There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Leg Injury) Hamouma R. (Injury) Kone Y. (Ankle Injury) Spadanuda K. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Coutadeur M. (Calf Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Monaco won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
11.01.23	Lorient - Monaco	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Monaco - Rodez	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
01.01.23	Monaco - Brest	1:0 ✺
28.12.22	Auxerre - Monaco	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.12.22	Leeds United - Monaco	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
11.01.23	Ajaccio - Reims	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
08.01.23	Jura Sud Lavans - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.01.23	Toulouse - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
28.12.22	Ajaccio - Angers	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
06.01.17	Monaco - Ajaccio	2:1
French Ligue 1
26.04.14	Ajaccio - Monaco	1:4
08.12.13	Monaco - Ajaccio	1:0

Upcoming Matches