Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	21:05	SuperSport 3
Argentina	17:05	Disney+
Armenia	00:05	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	21:05	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:05	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	17:05	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:05	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	16:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	04:05	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:05	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:05	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:05	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:05	Viaplay
Europe	—	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	22:05	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:05	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	21:05	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	04:05	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	22:05	5 PLUS Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	21:05	Ligue 1+
Japan	05:05	DAZN Japan
Malta	21:05	TVM Sport+
Mexico	14:05	FOX One
Netherlands	21:05	Viaplay
Nigeria	21:05	Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:05	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:05	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	15:05	Disney+
Philippines	04:05	Cignal Play
Poland	21:05	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	20:05	Sport TV6
Romania	22:05	Voyo
Russia	23:05	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:05	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	21:05	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	21:05	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	22:05	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	05:05	Coupang Play
Sweden	21:05	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:05	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	23:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	22:05	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:05	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	17:05	Disney+
Usa	16:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	16:05	Disney+
Vietnam	03:05	ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:05	Onefootball


	Monaco		Brest

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.6	4.1	5.35
	1.62	4.26	5.55
	1.6	4.23	5.25	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.62	4.22	5.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	4.15 ↑ (4)	5.39 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
59.5%

Draw
22.9%

Brest
17.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

24%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	13.3%	16.7%

Monaco - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Brest will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Brest (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Brest (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (G) 5. Kehrer T. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 25. Faes W. 4. Teze J. 23. Bamba A. 15. Camara L. 24. Adingra S. 11. Akliouche M. 9. Balogun F. 10. Golovin A.	30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 27. Guindo D. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
14. Biereth M. 29. Brunner P. 28. Coulibaly M. 31. Fati A. 17. Idumbo S. 16. Kohn P. (G) 13. Mawissa C. 44. Nibombe S. 20. Ouattara K.	44. Coulibaly S. 50. Jauny N. (G) 14. Labeau Lascary R. 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Balogun F. ⚽, Camara L. (A),
36', Kehrer T. 🟨,
45+2', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Bamba A. 🟨,
57', Bamba A. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
67', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
70', Akliouche M. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
70', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Golovin A. ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
83', Magnetti H. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
83', Del Castillo R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
83', Teze J. ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
83', Adingra S. ↓, Mawissa C. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3.

Monaco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brest is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monaco is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Caio Henrique (Injury) Diatta K. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Muscle Injury) Locko B. (Injury) Majecki R. (Loan agreement)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.7:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Monaco	8	4	3	1	11:7	4	15
13	Brest	8	2	3	3	14:12	2	9

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 4.28% Brest: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
06.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Monaco - Angers	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
21.02.26	Lens - Monaco	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.9 WWTWL
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Brest - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lille - Brest	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Brest - Lorient	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
05.12.25	Brest - Monaco	1:0
05.04.25	Brest - Monaco	2:1
22.11.24	Monaco - Brest	3:2
21.04.24	Brest - Monaco	0:2
05.11.23	Monaco - Brest	2:0
19.02.23	Brest - Monaco	1:2
01.01.23	Monaco - Brest	1:0

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