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Monaco - Brest: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Ligue 1 - Round 26
  • Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Monaco Brest
    Monaco Brest
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.6 ↓
    (1.68)    		 4.15 ↑
    (4)    		 5.39 ↑
    (4.52)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Monaco
    59.5%    		Draw
    22.9%    		Brest
    17.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    55.9% 23.4% 20.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    61.9% 25.9% 18.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    70% 13.3% 16.7%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Brest will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 53.6% – 86.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Brest (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Brest (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. FinlandHradecky L. (G)
      5. GermanyKehrer T.
      6. SwitzerlandZakaria D. (C)
    25. BelgiumFaes W.
      4. NetherlandsTeze J.
    23. FranceBamba A.
    15. SenegalCamara L.
    24. IvoryAdingra S.
    11. FranceAkliouche M.
      9. USABalogun F.
    10. RussiaGolovin A.
    		30. FranceCoudert G. (G)
    77. FranceLala K.
      5. FranceChardonnet B. (C)
      4. IvoryDiaz Jr. M.
    27. MaliGuindo D.
    13. FranceChotard J.
      8. FranceMagnetti H.
    10. FranceDel Castillo R.
    23. MaliDoumbia K.
      7. CameroonDina Ebimbe J.
    19. FranceAjorque L.
    Substitutes
    14. DenmarkBiereth M.
    29. GermanyBrunner P.
    28. FranceCoulibaly M.
    31. SpainFati A.
    17. BelgiumIdumbo S.
    16. SwitzerlandKohn P. (G)
    13. FranceMawissa C.
    44. BelgiumNibombe S.
    20. FranceOuattara K.
    		44. FranceCoulibaly S.
    50. IrelandJauny N. (G)
    14. FranceLabeau Lascary R.
    33. MaliMakalou H.
    99. SenegalMboup P.
    24. FranceTousart L.
    12. IvoryZogbe L.
    Coaches
         BelgiumPocognoli S.
    		     FranceRoy E.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 19', 1 - 0, Balogun F. ⚽, Camara L. (A),
    • 36', Kehrer T. 🟨,
    • 45+2', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 47', Bamba A. 🟨,
    • 57', Bamba A. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
    • 67', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
    • 70', Akliouche M. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
    • 70', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
    • 78', 2 - 0, Golovin A. ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
    • 83', Magnetti H. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
    • 83', Del Castillo R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
    • 83', Teze J. ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
    • 83', Adingra S. ↓, Mawissa C. ↑,

    Preview

  • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3.
  • Monaco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Brest is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Brest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Monaco is a strong favorite.
  • There will not play in Monaco: Caio Henrique (Injury) Diatta K. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Injury)
  • There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Muscle Injury) Locko B. (Injury) Majecki R. (Loan agreement)
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.6:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.7:0.8).
    • banner

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    5Monaco11001:013
    7Brest10102:201

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AS Monaco
    French Ligue 1
    06.03.26 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 1:3 ✺
    28.02.26 Monaco - Angers 2:0 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    25.02.26 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 2:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1
    21.02.26 Lens - Monaco 2:3 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    17.02.26 Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain 2:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.9
    WWTWL
    - Stade Brestois 29
    French Ligue 1
    08.03.26 Brest - Le Havre 2:0 ✺
    01.03.26 Metz - Brest 0:1 ✺
    20.02.26 Brest - Olympique Marseille 2:0 ✺
    14.02.26 Lille - Brest 1:1 ✺
    07.02.26 Brest - Lorient 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1
    WWWTW
    Latest Head to Head
    French Ligue 1
    05.12.25 Brest - Monaco 1:0
    05.04.25 Brest - Monaco 2:1
    22.11.24 Monaco - Brest 3:2
    21.04.24 Brest - Monaco 0:2
    05.11.23 Monaco - Brest 2:0
    19.02.23 Brest - Monaco 1:2
    01.01.23 Monaco - Brest 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AS Monaco
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    27.08.26 Monaco - Górnik Zabrze ✺

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