Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
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China	ZhiBo8
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
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France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, France 3, Free, Molotov TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Lithuania	Sport 1
Mexico	TVC Deportes
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Peru	DSports 1611
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	TV Start
South-america	DGO Latin America
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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Uruguay	DSports 1611
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Auxerre		Monaco

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.42	Watch
	5	4.2	1.51
	6.8	4.9	1.42
	4.87	4.2	1.69
	6.33	4.79	1.46	Watch
	6.5	4.6	1.4
	6.28	4.65	1.43	Watch
	7	4.75	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.1 ↑ (3.8)	4.61 ↑ (3.53)	1.46 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
15.4%

Draw
20.4%

Monaco
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.1%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.5%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auxerre's form might have worsened.

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Auxerre - Monaco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Monaco (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Percin T. (G) 2. Mazzotta A. 5. Senaya M. 4. Sierralta F. 3. Mensah G. 11. Oppegard F. 6. Diousse A. 10. Danois K. 8. Matondo R. 7. Osman I. 9. Rodin R.	1. Hradecky L. (G) 2. Mawissa C. 5. Kehrer T. 4. Salisu M. 3. Caio Henrique 8. Minamino T. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 11. Akliouche M. 10. Golovin A. 9. Balogun F. 7. Biereth M.
Substitutes
20. Cissokho M. 14. Coulibaly L. 15. Devernois T. 18. Diamalunda E. 12. Dioubate L. 16. Leon D. (G) 19. Petit Dol A. 17. Zaddy Y.	13. Bamba A. 14. Brunner P. 15. Cabral P. 18. Coulibaly M. 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 16. Lienard Y. (G) 20. Ouattara K. 12. Toure I.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Biereth M. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Diousse A. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Mawissa C. 🟨,
36', Minamino T. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
45+2', Sy L. 🟨,
45+6', Caio Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Danois K. 🟨,
62', Sy L. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
63', Rodin R. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
65', Mawissa C. ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
65', Golovin A. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
69', Zakaria D. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Biereth M. ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
75', Senaya M. 🟨,
78', Matondo R. 🟨,
81', Matondo R. ↓, Devernois T. ↑,
81', Danois K. ↓, Zaddy Y. ↑,
84', Biereth M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
89', Osman I. ↓, Dioubate L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Monaco is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Auxerre - Lille	3:4 ✺
07.12.25	Auxerre - Metz	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Paris FC - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Auxerre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Angers - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTTL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Monaco - Galatasaray	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.12.25	Brest - Monaco	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Paphos - Monaco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
13.09.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2
01.02.25	Monaco - Auxerre	4:2
14.09.24	Auxerre - Monaco	0:3
01.02.23	Monaco - Auxerre	3:2
28.12.22	Auxerre - Monaco	2:3
French Ligue 2
13.04.13	Auxerre - Monaco	0:2
10.11.12	Monaco - Auxerre	2:0

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