Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium Municipal (Toulouse) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	18:00	beIN Sports Max
Turkey	20:00	beIN Sports 1 MAX


	Toulouse		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.33
	1.75	3.45	4.7
	1.76	3.45	4.1
	1.8	3.62	4.89
	1.73	3.3	4.5
	1.75	3.68	4.6
	1.81	3.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.05)	3.51 ↑ (3.33)	4.49 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toulouse
52.9%

Draw
26.4%

Ajaccio
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulouse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	3.3%	3.3%

Toulouse - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulouse will win (28 of 30 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 3.

Toulouse is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Toulouse is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
15.01.23	Toulouse - Brest	1:1 ✺
11.01.23	Auxerre - Toulouse	0:5 ✺
Coupe De France
08.01.23	Lannion - Toulouse	1:7 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.01.23	Toulouse - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
29.12.22	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWL
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
15.01.23	Monaco - Ajaccio	7:1 ✺
11.01.23	Ajaccio - Reims	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
08.01.23	Jura Sud Lavans - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.01.23	Toulouse - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
28.12.22	Ajaccio - Angers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.01.23	Toulouse - Ajaccio	2:0
French Ligue 2
14.05.22	Ajaccio - Toulouse	1:0
24.07.21	Toulouse - Ajaccio	2:2
15.02.21	Toulouse - Ajaccio	3:0
17.10.20	Ajaccio - Toulouse	0:1
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Toulouse - Ajaccio	1:0
French Ligue 1
27.05.18	Toulouse - Ajaccio	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
01.11.26	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	✺

Toulouse - Ajaccio