Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Matosa M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	Laola1
Norway	VG+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Górnik Zabrze		Monaco

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.20	3.30	2.10
	3.60	3.60	1.98
	3.36	3.74	2.11
	3.91	3.95	1.84	Watch
	3.15	3.50	2.09
	3.40	3.38	2.16	Watch
	3.30	3.45	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (5.22)	3.52 ↓ (4.38)	2.07 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
27.8%

Draw
26.7%

Monaco
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

21.2%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

20.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Górnik Zabrze's performance.

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Górnik Zabrze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	17.4%	82.6%

Górnik Zabrze - Monaco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Sadilek L. 66. Dietz M. 8. Bernardo P. 33. Khlan M. 11. Prekop E. 19. Peter Federico	1. Hradecky L. (G) 2. Vanderson 72. Sane S. 3. Dier E. 13. Mawissa C. 7. Detourbet M. 15. Camara L. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 17. Idumbo S. 29. Brunner P. 14. Biereth M.
Substitutes
9. Antiste J. 4. Bochniewicz P. 34. Durdov B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 29. Kania W. (G) 14. Kubicki J. 23. Liseth S. 99. Loska T. (G) 82. Urbanski K. 2. Warczak P. 21. Zmrzly O.	41. Assab A. 47. Benzahra S. 19. Cabral P. 5. Kehrer T. 16. Kohn P. (G) 42. Konate O. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 20. Nazinho 44. Nibombe S. 46. Soubeir A. 4. Teze J. 49. Toure I.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Biereth M. ⚽, Detourbet M. (A),
38', Detourbet M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Camara L. ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Prekop E. ⚽, Janza E. (A),
55', Vanderson ↓, Teze J. ↑,
55', Detourbet M. ↓, Soubeir A. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Brunner P. ⚽, Idumbo S. (A),
61', Soubeir A. 🟨,
66', Sadilek L. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
66', Prekop E. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
70', Dietz M. 🟨,
74', 2 - 3, Liseth S. ⚽, Bernardo P. (A),
74', Peter Federico ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
80', Mawissa C. ↓, Nazinho ↑,
81', Biereth M. ↓, Konate O. ↑,
81', Bernardo P. ↓, Antiste J. ↑,
89', Zakaria D. ↓, Benzahra S. ↑,
90+4', Janza E. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monaco is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Monaco: 8.63%

Last Results with these Odds

Monaco - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.92%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWLT
- AS Monaco
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Coventry City - Monaco	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Liverpool - Monaco	2:3 ✺
06.08.26	Monaco - Getafe	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Monaco - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Monaco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWTL

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