Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	Laola1
Hungary	M4 Sport
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Ferencvárosi		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.40	5.00
	1.66	3.80	5.00
	1.60	3.95	5.20
	1.68	3.70	5.75
	1.72	3.86	4.7	Watch
	1.65	3.35	5.65
	1.70	3.56	5.81
	1.66	3.55	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)	3.65 ↓ (3.66)	5.29 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
56.5%

Draw
25.8%

Górnik Zabrze
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

25.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Zabrze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Zabrze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	7.7%	5.8%

Ferencvárosi - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (45 of 52 users predict this - 86.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.26% – 95.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 14. Osvath A. 28. Raemaekers T. 4. Gomez M. 20. Cadu 10. Levi J. 17. Corbu M. 36. Kanichowsky G. 16. Zachariassen K. 75. Joseph L. 11. Dele	1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Sadilek L. 66. Dietz M. 82. Urbanski K. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 11. Prekop E. 88. Ismaheel T.
Substitutes
15. Arzani D. 18. Bagi A. 32. Cirkovic A. 30. Gruber Z. 24. Kodro K. 6. Nagy A. 54. Nagy O. 47. O'Dowda C. 70. Sevikyan E. 1. Varga A. (G) 68. Varga Zeteny I. 5. Zohore N.	4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 29. Kania W. (G) 33. Khlan M. 23. Liseth S. 19. Peter Federico 36. Rakoczy M. 2. Warczak P. 21. Zmrzly O.
Coaches
Borbely B.	Gasparik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Josema 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Khlan M. ↑,
62', Prekop E. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Corbu M. ⚽, Cadu (A),
70', Dele ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
71', Levi J. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
80', Ismaheel T. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
83', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
85', Dietz M. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
90+1', Joseph L. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
90+1', Cadu ↓, Cirkovic A. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferencvárosi is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ferencvaros: 0.78%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Ferencvárosi - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.91%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
02.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Vasas	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	Ferencvárosi - Twente	2:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
26.07.26	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Twente - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Ferencvárosi - Vojvodina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLWW
- Górnik Zabrze
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Polish Super Cup
16.07.26	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Nordsjælland - Górnik Zabrze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLLW

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