Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Paris FC		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.1	Watch
	2	3.2	4.1
	2.02	3.25	3.95	Watch
	2.07	3.3	4.3
	2	3.27	4.05	Watch
	2	3.2	3.7
	2.1	3.23	4.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	4.08 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
47.2%

Draw
29.5%

Le Havre
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29.9%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

Paris FC - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Trapp K. (G) 17. Camara A. 42. Coppola D. 5. Mbow M. 19. Sangui N. 18. Munetsi M. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 23. Matondo R. 93. Ikone J. 36. Immobile C. 27. Simon M.	99. Diaw M. (G) 7. Nego L. 93. Sangante A. (C) 15. Seko A. 27. Vinette E. K. 19. Gourna-Douath L. 26. Ebonog S. 17. Boufal S. 14. Ndiaye R. 10. Mambimbi F. 45. Soumare I.
Substitutes
13. Cafaro M. 28. De Smet T. 9. Geubbels W. 7. Gory A. 24. Koleosho L. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 21. Lopez M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 6. Otavio	13. Doucoure F. 8. Kechta Y. 30. Khadra R. 11. Kyeremeh G. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 20. Obougou N. 32. Pembele T. 25. Samatta A.
Coaches
Kombouare A.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Immobile C. ⚽, Coppola D. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Seko A. (Own goal),
42', Vinette E. K. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
42', Mambimbi F. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', Matondo R. 🟥,
61', 2 - 1, Ndiaye R. ⚽, Boufal S. (A),
66', Ebonog S. 🟨,
72', Ikone J. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
73', Immobile C. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
75', Ebonog S. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
75', Boufal S. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
84', Simon M. ↓, Otavio ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Gory A. ⚽, Lees-Melou P. (A),
90+2', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Kyeremeh G. ⚽, Samatta A. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 0.

Paris FC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Le Havre is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Paris FC is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Marchetti V. (Injury) Ollila T. (Injury) Riou R. (Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Le Havre: Lloris G. (Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Zagadou S. (Red Card) Zouaoui Y. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Ebonog S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.81% Le Havre: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Le Havre - the odds 3.87 are the expected chance of winning is 24.37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lyon - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Paris FC - Nice	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Toulouse - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Paris FC - Lens	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWTL
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Le Havre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Nantes - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Le Havre - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
07.12.25	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Paris FC - Le Havre	1:1
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0
30.12.22	Paris FC - Le Havre	0:0
17.01.22	Paris FC - Le Havre	2:2
07.08.21	Le Havre - Paris FC	1:2
06.02.21	Le Havre - Paris FC	1:0

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