Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:45	Disney+
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Belarus	19:45	Sport TV
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 6
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	13:45	Disney+
Colombia	11:45	Disney+
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Estonia	19:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Lithuania	19:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	10:45	Claro Sports
New Zealand	05:45	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	11:45	Disney+
Philippines	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	17:45	DAZN / App
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones 9, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 23, Blue Sport 23, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	23:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	19:45	Tabii Spor 5
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	HBO Max, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, Inter


	CSKA Sofia		Monaco

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.45
	6.25	4.60	1.41
	5.9	4.55	1.45
	6.63	4.78	1.48
	6	4.54	1.5	Watch
	6.3	4.65	1.46
	6.58	4.56	1.47
	6.6	5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (5.8)	4.65 ↑ (4.54)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia
14.9%

Draw
20.3%

Monaco
64.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.3%

20.8%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

19.9%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	5.3%	94.7%

CSKA Sofia - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (36 of 38 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.64% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pastor 4. Almeida D. 32. Rodriguez F. 17. Martino A. 6. Jordao B. (C) 28. Pittas I. 7. Ebong M. 8. Sensi S. 38. Leo Pereira 9. Godoy L.	1. Hradecky L. (C) 4. Teze J. 72. Sane S. 22. Salisu M. 13. Mawissa C. 18. Minamino T. 8. Camara L. 37. Diop E. 17. Idumbo S. 29. Brunner P. 31. Fati A.
Substitutes
99. Eto'o J. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 67. Itu C. 14. Ivanov T. 34. Kaymakanov V. 31. Nikolov D. (G) 30. Panayotov P. 94. Solet I. 91. Tunchev A. 19. Yordanov A. 10. Zwarts J.	11. Abline M. 14. Biereth M. 19. Cabral P. 28. Coulibaly M. 7. Detourbet M. 10. Golovin A. 16. Kohn P. (G) 20. Nazinho 46. Soubeir A. 49. Toure I. 2. Vanderson 6. Zakaria D.
Coaches
Gisdol M.	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Brunner P. ⚽, Idumbo S. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Fati A. ⚽, Brunner P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Sensi S. 🟨,
59', Minamino T. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
59', Camara L. ↓, Zakaria D. ↑,
59', Salisu M. ↓, Nazinho ↑,
64', Idumbo S. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
69', Ebong M. 🟨,
73', Leo Pereira ↓, Itu C. ↑,
73', Godoy L. ↓, Zwarts J. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Zwarts J. ⚽, Sensi S. (A),
77', Fati A. ↓, Soubeir A. ↑,
78', Diop E. 🟨,
85', Ebong M. ↓, Eto'o J. ↑,
85', Pittas I. ↓, Solet I. ↑,
85', Almeida D. ↓, Ivanov T. ↑,
90+5', Martino A. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - National Stadium Vasil Levski.

CSKA Sofia is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Monaco is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

CSKA Sofia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, CSKA Sofia has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Monaco is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for CSKA Sofia: Brahimi M. (Red Card) Cotter B. (Off the roster) Ouorou T. (Off the roster).

Confirmed absences for Monaco: Balogun F. (Off the roster).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Monaco	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
23	CSKA Sofia	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Monaco: 10.05% CSKA Sofia: 0.16%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.10.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA Sofia	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	CSKA Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	4:1 ✺
Bulgarian Super Cup
09.09.26	Levski Sofia - CSKA Sofia	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWW
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Monaco - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Monaco - Pisa	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.09.26	Monaco - Lens	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWWTW

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