Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Brest		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.6	4
	1.88	3.55	4.25	Watch
	1.92	3.6	4.39
	1.86	3.61	4.18	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.93	3.68	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 (1.89)	3.56 ↑ (3.54)	4.19 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
50.5%

Draw
26.8%

Le Havre
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	25%	4.2%

Brest - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Le Havre will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 56% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Brest (1.92) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 19. Ajorque L.	99. Diaw M. (G) 93. Sangante A. (C) 15. Seko A. 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 26. Ebonog S. 19. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Ndiaye R. 45. Soumare I. 33. Quetant K. 17. Boufal S.
Substitutes
44. Coulibaly S. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.	8. Kechta Y. 30. Khadra R. 11. Kyeremeh G. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 25. Samatta A. 27. Vinette E. K. 29. Zagadou S.
Coaches
Roy E.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
38', Doumbia K. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Del Castillo R. ⚽, Lala K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Lloris G. ↓, Zagadou S. ↑,
64', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
64', Quetant K. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
70', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽, Doumbia K. (A),
73', Ajorque L. 🟨,
78', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
79', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
80', Boufal S. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
81', Sangante A. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
90+2', Locko B. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
90+2', Ajorque L. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
90+2', Del Castillo R. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4.

Brest is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Le Havre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brest is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 1.1:0.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Brest: 0.35% Le Havre: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Brest - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lille - Brest	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Brest - Lorient	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Nice - Brest	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWTWT
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
28.02.26	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Nantes - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Le Havre - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Le Havre - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Lens - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Le Havre - Brest	1:0
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Brest - Le Havre	1:0
French Ligue 1
26.01.25	Le Havre - Brest	0:1
06.10.24	Brest - Le Havre	2:0
03.03.24	Brest - Le Havre	1:0
20.08.23	Le Havre - Brest	1:2
French Ligue 2
01.02.19	Le Havre - Brest	1:1

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