The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monagas 59.9%
Draw 22.4%
Rayo Zuliano 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
25.6%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
24.6%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monagas's performance.
Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Zuliano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monagas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Zuliano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Monagas - Rayo Zuliano Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Monagas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Riveros T. (G) 5. Colorado J. 4. Maitan M. 14. Jaramillo F. 8. Ramirez C. 24. Herrera S. 18. Caraballo J. (C) 49. Mancilla J. 16. Carrion E. 9. Rodriguez R. 55. Renteria M.
1. Camacaro J. (G) 25. Julio J. 34. Diaz F. 20. Chacon P. 6. Kinsler A. 23. Ochoa J. (C) 5. Martinez J. 26. Gomez J. 7. Vasquez Ferrer D. A. 90. Pena L. 19. Martinez G.
Substitutes
38. Asibe S. 7. Basante F. 26. Castillo D. 20. Diaz H. 27. Farias E. 33. Lima E. (G) 35. Natera S. 19. Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. 22. Perlaza E. 2. Rincones R. 77. Rodriguez L. 52. Vallenilla W.
10. Arias J. 70. Colina Bracho J. A. 31. Dugarte L. 21. Franco D. 99. Gonzalez M. 36. Jimenez A. 9. Maldonado C. 27. Moran J. 13. Osorio J. 18. Paz L. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 97. Urbina L.
Coaches
Zambrano O.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Martinez J. 🟨,
45+1', Gomez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Rodriguez R. ⚽, Carrion E. (A),
55', Herrera S. ↓, Asibe S. ↑,
56', Carrion E. ↓, Basante F. ↑,
61', Martinez J. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
61', Kinsler A. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
68', Renteria M. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
72', Martinez G. ↓, Urbina L. ↑,
73', Ochoa J. ↓, Colina Bracho J. A. ↑,
73', Colorado J. ↓, Perlaza E. ↑,
74', Mancilla J. ↓, Natera S. ↑,
75', Asibe S. 🟨,
77', Jimenez A. 🟨,
79', Paz L. 🟨,
80', 3 - 0, Farias E. ⚽, Ramirez C. (A),
81', Gomez J. ↓, Dugarte L. ↑,
90+1', Pena L. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Monagas is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
Watch
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Riveros T. (G) 
Colorado J. 
Renteria M. 
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